[Tobbe “Hippie hockeydynamit” from the northern parts of Sweden is an avid sports punter and Expekt.com customer since many years back. Tobbe has been with us on multiple customer events, last in New York for an exclusive NHL-weekend with our own ambassador Niklas Wikegård. Tobbe blogs mainly about ice-hockey and trotting.]
As I’ve had some days off not only from blogging here but also from following any sports as well as from betting on them I’ve almost lost interest in it as I tend to do over the summer.
Okey, I’ve been watching the NHL semi-finals and the Ice-hockey World Championship with at least one eye, and I send BIG congratulations to 19-year old Timrå IK player Magnus Pääjärvi-Svensson for making the all-star team as well as finishing in the top of most statistic listings for the World Championship and bringing home a bronze medal to Sweden with him!
Coming up soon is of course the World Cup in South Africa and I will watch it but not follow every game and I’m a little surprised to see so many seems to think Spain will win the cup easily and even more surprised that England is among the favourites. I think this Cup will be hot in more than one way. Because of that I believe either Brazil or Argentina will win it. As for surprise teams I’ll go for the African ones, and looking back at the last African Nations Cup I think there will be more nations than Ivory Coast and Nigeria to watch out for this time as Ghana, Algeria and Cameroon all are teams good enough to stir up some fuzz even if neither of them of course will stand there as winner in the end.
South Africa will most certainly leave with three straight losses as they are simply not good enough in my eyes. But there’s still a couple of weeks until the World Cup starts and for me as a trotting and ice-hockey fan I have the swedish Elitloppet to look forward to already this weekend as well as the first game of the Stanley Cup final on the same sunday and on saturday there will also be some great races on Solvalla to watch and bet on with Sweden Cup as the highlight.
In the clash between Chicago and Philly I will put some money on Flyers as I think they’ve had the most impressive play of the two so far and has a great defensive. Blackhawks are too big of a favourite here and I really think they’ve had an easier way to the final so despite the fact that they have players like Toews I believe they at least will have a hard time going all the way – my guess for the series is that this will go to 6 or 7 games and a couple of overtime wins will be in it so I put my money on a draw in 60 minutes for the first battle to 4.10 in odds.
In Elitloppet I already have a bet on Lucky Jim but that was placed long before I knew he would have grid 7 behind the starting car in his trial heat. Now the race looks quite open and the qualifying races will show more and I rest for now when it comes to betting on the winner of the final. In Sweden cup I would have liked the opportunity to bet on from which qualifying heat the winner will come from as I think heat 1 has all the best trotters in it.
Now I’ll sit back, watch and look for anything worth betting for in the final instead but a small tip is that french horses are the best in the world so 5.50 on Quito D’aveze as winner of trial 1 for Sweden Cup seems okey at hand but remember grid 8 is almost impossible to win from at Solvalla and most probably you will see a lot of horses winning from the lead as usual in the summertime and especially on Solvallas track.
As I look for some higher odds as I’m not betting with big stakes on these two days of great racing I look at some place bets (top-3) instead and will put them in some kind of system, most likely in a Yankee, Patent or Trixie but I’m not at all clear about on which horses yet – much depends on what kind of weather and what type of track there will be and the first races of the two days will show a lot more of what to expect in the ones later on even if a first glimpse at the racing form looks like a lot of favourites will win both days.
Well, that’s all the thoughts I’ve got when it comes to betting right now and if I have to recommend just one bet I would put it on Copper Beech NOT reaching the Elitloppet final to 2.10 in odds – this horse has done well but I think he’s up against too good horses to finish top 4 in his heat this time.